It's no secret that the North Pacific has been whipping up something special for us come the end of this week, but just how special remains to be seen. Worst case scenario, everybody gets some largish waves to ride and we all tire ourselves out. Best case, we bare witness to history.
Consider this, in the early 1990s, when Maverick's was still "new," the late Mark Foo and a few others realized that they could surf Waimea Bay one day, then chase the swell across the Pacific to Half Moon Bay, then down south to Todos Santos, effectively riding the world's three most distinguished big waves in 48 hours. 20 years later and we could see the world's three most distinguished big-wave events go off in equally rapid-fire succession.
So, with all the hype and attention, where do we really stand regarding running the Eddie, the Jay and the Todos event all by week's end? Greg Long says he's ready if they do, but really, what are the chances? Over in Hawaii George Downing, contest director of the Eddie, explained that "the system generating the surf is definitely gigantic and certainly as strong as predicted, covering roughly 18,000 square miles of the north Pacific, but up to now, the strongest winds generating the open ocean swells have not been aimed at Hawaii. This can change as the system passes the dateline, so we will have to be patient."
Patience seems to be the key virtue here. "The first winds for that storm are forming now," told our man at Mavericks, Frank Quirarte. "The pre-forecast is not in our favor. We're looking at high high tides in the middle of the day and the swell breaking apart. We will continue to monitor things as they progress. You just never know."
"We have been watching closely as the upcoming swell approaches, hitting the North Shore of Hawaii first, and with it the possibility of running The Eddie," says Gary Linden, who's directing the show down in Mexico. "Then, with the swells westerly direction, it will be peaking at both Mavericks and Todos on the same day -- Saturday. So that means we have to figure which break will be best. And lastly, will it be big enough at either? Tough decisions are a big part of the fun in the world of big-wave competition."
Fun indeed. I'll be sniffing around for an overhead pointbreak somewhere safe. Obviously as all of this continues to unfold we'll be bringing you the latest.